Spring A 2026 MATH.40.HSF2 Statistics: Week 14: Final Exam Preparation

Spring A 2026 MATH.40.HSF2 Statistics: Week 14: Final Exam Preparation

Week 14: Final Exam Preparation

Instructions

  • Submit your Microsoft Word file in the submission folder in Week 14. You may also submit your Excel file.

  • Use the exact format provided.

  • No late submissions or extensions will be accepted.

  • You may consult materials, but you may not consult any other person.

  • Projects will not be returned.

  • This project is worth 20% of your final grade.


Name:


THE SCENARIO

You are the Director of Admissions for a large business school. Students seeking admission must take the GMAT (Graduate Management Admission Test). You want to gather inferential statistics about students’ GPAs. You also wish to determine whether a student’s GMAT score is useful for predicting GPA at graduation.


THE DATA

The GMAT scores and GPAs at graduation of 20 randomly selected students are provided in the file GMAT Data.xlsx.

  • X-variable: GMAT score

  • Y-variable: GPA


INSTRUCTIONS FOR ANALYSIS

  • Answer all questions below.

  • Perform all calculations using Excel or PHStat.

  • Attach output where required.

  • If calculating manually, show formulas and all steps.

  • Unsupported answers will receive zero credit.

  • Round all calculations to at least four decimal places.


QUESTIONS

1. Descriptive Statistics [4 POINTS]

Find the mean and standard deviation of the sample GPA.

  • Paste Excel descriptive statistics output.

  • State the sample mean.

  • State the sample standard deviation.


2. Confidence Interval for Mean (Unknown σ) [6 POINTS]

Assume the population is normally distributed and the population standard deviation is unknown.

  • Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean GPA.

  • Paste PHStat output.

  • State the margin of error.


3. Sample Size Determination (Known σ) [4 POINTS]

Assume:

  • Population standard deviation = 0.30

  • Confidence level = 95%

  • Margin of error ≤ 0.10

  • Determine the required sample size.

  • Paste PHStat output.


4. Hypothesis Test for Regression Slope [14 POINTS]

Test whether GMAT score is a significant predictor of GPA.

  • State null and alternative hypotheses.

  • State significance level.

  • Report test statistic and p-value.

  • State decision rule.

  • State decision.

  • Provide conclusion.


5. Hypothesis Test for Mean GPA [6 POINTS]

Test whether the mean GPA is greater than 3.2.

  • Paste PHStat output.

  • State conclusion.


6. Repeat Hypothesis Test (New Alpha) [4 POINTS]

Repeat Question 5 with α = 0.05.

  • Paste PHStat output.

  • Describe what changed.


7. True/False Statements [6 POINTS]

Mark each statement as TRUE (T) or FALSE (F):

  • The p-value is the probability that the null hypothesis will be rejected.

  • The second test has a smaller reject region than the first.

  • The test statistic measures the distance between the mean being tested and the sample mean.

  • The null hypothesis will be rejected provided alpha exceeds the p-value.

  • The critical value is the boundary between the reject and do-not-reject regions.

  • The p-value is the probability of obtaining a test statistic equal to or more extreme than the sample result if the null hypothesis is true.


8. Confidence Interval for Proportion [8 POINTS]

Given: 8 out of 20 students are women

  • Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion.

  • Paste PHStat output.

  • Interpret the interval.


9. Precision of Interval [2 POINTS]

  • Comment on the precision of the confidence interval.

  • Provide a reason.


10. Sample Size for Proportion [4 POINTS]

Assume:

  • Population proportion = 0.45

  • Margin of error ≤ 0.05

  • Confidence level = 95%

  • Determine required sample size.

  • Paste PHStat output.


LINEAR REGRESSION SECTION


11. Scatter Plot [4 POINTS]

  • Create and paste a scatter plot of GMAT vs GPA.


12. Regression Output [4 POINTS]

  • Perform regression using PHStat.

  • Paste full regression output.


13. Regression Equation & Metrics [10 POINTS]

From the regression output:

  • Write the regression equation.

  • Identify the slope.

  • Identify the y-intercept.

  • State the standard error of estimate.

  • State the coefficient of determination (R²).


14. Hypothesis Test for Linear Relationship [8 POINTS]

Test at α = 0.05:

  • State null and alternative hypotheses.

  • Report p-value.

  • State decision.

  • State conclusion.


15. Interpretation [6 POINTS]

  • Interpret the y-intercept.

  • Interpret the slope.

  • Predict GPA for GMAT = 600.


16. Residual Analysis [12 POINTS]

  • Paste residual plot.

  • Comment on:

    • Linearity assumption

    • Equal variance assumption


17. Normality of Residuals [8 POINTS]

  • Paste normal probability plot.

  • State whether normality assumption is satisfied.

  • Provide justification.


18. Confidence & Prediction Intervals [4 POINTS]

For X = 600:

  • Construct 95% confidence interval for mean response.

  • Construct 95% prediction interval.

  • Paste PHStat output.


19. Model Evaluation [4 POINTS]

  • Discuss how good the regression model is.

  • Provide supporting reasons.


20. Additional Predictors [4 POINTS]

  • Suggest at least two other independent variables that could help predict GPA.

Tutorial for Final Exam Preparation

Final Assignment

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